THE PRESENT: The Channel Crossing Pattern
40% of French tech startups with €10M+ funding rounds raise their Series A in London, not Paris. The average London deal is €15M. The average Paris deal is €8M. Time to close: London 3 months, Paris 7 months.
This isn't about Brexit. This isn't about "London being better for tech." This is about systems.
French founders aren't traitors. They're rational actors navigating structural inefficiencies. When the Paris system takes 7 months and offers €8M, and the London system takes 3 months and offers €15M, the choice is obvious.
The Numbers
- 40% of French startups (€10M+) raise Series A in London
- Average deal: London €15M vs Paris €8M
- Time to close: London 3mo vs Paris 7mo
- Success rate: London 65% vs Paris 42%
THE PAST: How Paris Lost Its Advantage
Paris should dominate European tech. It has: world-class engineering schools, a deep talent pool, lower costs than London, and government support programs (BPI, CIR tax credits).
Yet London wins. Why?
Structural Differences
Decision-Makers
London: Former operators (understand tech, took risks themselves)
Paris: Former bankers (risk-averse, want traditional metrics)
Due Diligence
London: 4-6 weeks standard, streamlined
Paris: 3-6 months, bureaucratic, reinvented each time
Terms
London: Founder-friendly, industry standard (SAFE, convertible notes)
Paris: France-specific terms, confusing for international follow-on
The result: French founders don't "prefer" London. London's system is simply more efficient.
THE FUTURE: Can Paris Compete?
Three scenarios for 2025-2030:
Scenario 1: Status Quo (50% probability)
Paris continues losing top deals to London. Brain drain of best founders continues.
Scenario 2: Paris Reforms (30% probability)
French VCs adopt London practices: faster DD, standard terms, operator-investors. Paris becomes competitive by 2027-2028.
Scenario 3: Post-Brexit Opportunity (20% probability)
UK regulatory complexity post-Brexit pushes deals back to Paris. France capitalizes with reformed ecosystem.
For Foreign Investors
Opportunity: Invest in French startups at Paris valuations, help them scale internationally. You become their "London alternative" with better terms.
See Investment Playbook →